Tag Archives: Usa

US plan to Isolate Iran

The resignation of Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri two weeks ago is an indicator of potential local escalation with Hezbollah and regional escalation with Iran. The expectation of imminent escalation with Hezbollah has existed for months, as the en…

Where is the Syrian crisis heading?

With the US strike on Syria this week the Syrian crisis appears to have returned to its original dynamic. The escalation towards Syrian president Bashar al Assad is once again central to the US position and has brought it back in line with other countries that up until now have not been on good terms with the new Trump Administration. As a result we have seen the G7 Ministerial Summit entrust US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson as the representative of not just of the G7 countries, but also Gulf and other neighboring countries to deliver a message to Moscow regarding their position towards Assad and the rules for a new political solution.

It is important to see the US strike in Syria as a political message not as war message. The target, location, style of attack and that they informed the Russians of the attack demonstrate that the US wanted to send a clear message regarding its new position in Syria. Direct military action from the US represents a significant change in their role in and the nature of the conflict itself.

The Syrian crisis is even more of a delicate balance now with global pressure on Russia to step back from its support of the Assad regime. Moscow must make the next move, but either way, we are likely to see an escalation on the ground.

The US has achieved multidimensional gains with this strike. Firstly, it has restored alignment of its position with European and Arab allies, who welcomed the strike. It has also blunted the accusations against the Trump Administration around its close ties to Russia, which cost them a National Security Adviser and was threatening the role of Trump’s son in law, Jared Kushner.

In addition, the strike has gone a long way to restore the trust of Israel, whose previous attacks in Syria were seen as a shift in power in the conflict. The strike has signaled a new American military presence in Syria, which could soon be expanded to the liberation of Raqqa.

The pressure on Moscow might not precipitate a political solution in Syria in the short term, but it is a clear challenge to Russia and its allies. The Russian axis in the region are clearly gearing up for an increased American presence in Syria, as it could lead to the US directly confronting the role of Hezbollah and Iran in the conflict, which could greatly escalate tensions with Moscow.

Dr. Amer Al Sabaileh

amersabaileh@yahoo.com 

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton

Report elezioni USA

Trump - Clinton

Trump se vuole vincere le elezioni deve conquistare, in queste ultime ore, con certezza lo Utah, l’Arizona.

Forse lo Utah e la Georgia sono già nelle sue mani ,ma l ‘Arizona è più difficile ed il suo vantaggio ad oggi nello stato è troppo sottile.

Se Trump riuscisse ad avere già domani la maggioranza in Utah, Georgia, Arizona, Carolina del Sud, Florida ed Ohio arriverebbe  quasi a 253 punti e gliene mancherebbero ancora una ventina per vincere.

Servirebbe allora vincere in Pennsylvania. Questo stato è in bilico anche per la Clinton, ma proprio qui la Clinton concluderà la campagna elettorale con tutti i super big  insieme al marito ed ad Obama.

Questa circostanza oltre alla scia del Presidente uscente ed alla recente dichiarazione dell’FBI che la scagiona in modo definitivo ed infine alla comunità ispanica a suo favore faranno vincere la Clinton.

Perdendo la Pennsylvania Trump ha come ultima chance quella di puntare su altri piccoli stati Lowa, Nevada, Maine e NewHampshire ma le informazioni sui dati reali sono troppo altalenanti e le incertezze dal punto di vista mediatico e concreto favoriscono la Clinton, che comunque ha già deciso di fare una ribattuta in questi paesi.

Ultimissima possibilità per Trump è quella di strappare voti in Michigan, Wisconsin , Colorado, Virginia , New Mexico.

Ma è tutto troppo tardi,  i finanziatori delle campagne elettorali dei due contendenti sono in larga maggioranza gli stessi ed hanno già deciso di far eleggere il cosiddetto  candidato “meno peggio “ ed a loro più congeniale.

Per questo nonostante tutto e nonostante tutti vincerà la Clinton.  

© RIPRODUZIONE RISERVATA